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Dear Harper,

We used to wind down for summer. No longer. The Brexit negotiations are ongoing, the Scottish independence debate seems to be hotting up, there's the Lib Dem leadership contest going on and, of course, there's the pandemic.

Health matters Matt Wood writes about the importance of transparency when it comes to the implications of the UK-EU and UK-US trade talks for healthcare. It's also well worth reading his research briefing.

Dem and out? As ballots opened yesterday in the Lib Dem leadership contest, our new report Where next for the Liberal Democrats by Tim Bale, Alan Wager and Aron Cheung, sets out the challenges facing the party and whoever ends up leading it. It was featured on the BBC, Huffington Post, New European, New Statesman and Mark Pack's blog.

UK high street Martin Heneghan and Sarah Hall write about how the UK high street reveals the key issues that will face the UK economy, post Covid-19 and Brexit.

Labour war On the 75th anniversary of Labour''s landslide election victory, Erica Consterdine has written a brief history of internal disputes in the party.

Popular populism Andrew Ryder reflects on the growth of populism in the UK and Europe and argues that a renewed social contract is needed to ease economic and social tensions.

Internal affairs We produced four charts outlining the various options for the UK internal market after Brexit.

Breaking down In the latest Brexit Breakdown podcast, Diane Coyle discusses whether we can measure the size of an economy, the economic impact of Covid-19 and whether economists can and should do more to explain the economy to non-economists.

News
. We were in the New European on Scottish independence, Daily Express regarding Northern Ireland and Huffington Post about fishing
. David Rose (co-investigator of Agri-Environmental Governance Post-Brexit) was interviewed by Deutschlandfunk Radio about agricultural policy and the implications of trade negotiations after Brexit
. Tim Bale was on CNBC News on the latest on the Brexit negotiations on 24 July. He also talked about Boris Johnson on Times Radio with Hugo Rifkind and was interviewed on Al Jazeera.
. Following the Prime Minister's visit to Scotland last week, John Curtice was on several BBC outlets, Channel 4, 5 and ITV News and Talkradio. He was also quoted in, among others, the Scotsman and the Herald.

Highlights
. Catherine Barnard and Meg Russell, were elected Fellows of the British Academy
. I was awarded Influencer of the Year in the Civility in Politics Award. Read about the awards in this write-up in the Metro
. Jonathan Portes wrote a new paper in Ideas, on the economic impact of Covid-19 on London
. Catherine Barnard joined Hilary Benn and Bea Kilroy Nolan to discuss the Brexit negotiations for the Tony Blair Institute
. Tim Bale hosted a Mile End Institute podcast with Chris Grey and Nicole Sykes on business and Brexit

Events
. Meredith Crowley will look at how the future trade relationship between the UK and EU will be negotiated with Bernd Lange MEP, Angus Brendan Macneil MP and Georgina Wright on 3 September
. I'll be joining Lisa O'Carroll, Jennifer Rankin and Sonia Sodha for Guardian Live's no deal Brexit event on 9 September

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	Anand Menon Director, UK in a Changing Europe

Dear Harper,

Following the end of the last round of the negotiations, we carried out an assessment of progress to date. Spoiler alert: not much. Read on for this and much more..

Where are we? In our report The Brexit Negotiations: A Stocktake we think a comprehensive deal is going to be hard to achieve. The reason is as much the incompatible objectives of the two sides as it is time pressure. Read the summary here.  . We also held a media briefing about the report with Catherine Barnard, Jonathan Portes and Jill Rutter, which you can watch here.  . Listen to Jonathan Portes talk about the report on BBC Radio Scotland. . Jonathan also explains the economic implications of not extending transition here. . Catherine Barnard discusses what may happen at the end of transition in this video.

Fried fish We released our Fisheries and Brexit report today, which explains all you need to know about this sector which could derail the talks as a whole. Read the summary here.

Leaving hurts Responding to Michael Burrage of the Centre for Brexit Policy, Jonathan Portes argues leaving without a deal would definitely hurt UK-EU trade, originally in the Telegraph.

No deal: back with a vengeance The political implications of a no deal outcome threaten to be every bit as significant as its economic fallout, Jonathan Portes and I write, originally in Huffington Post.

Covid and Brexit's cultural divides Anand Menon and Alan Wager argue new cultural fault lines are developing around Covid-19, not too dissimilar to the ones that appeared around Brexit.

Starmer's piece Tim Bale looks at the reasons why Keir Starmer isn't calling for the transition period to be extended, originally in New Statesman.

Immigration matters You can watch and also listen to our latest Isolation Insight event on post-Brexit immigration policy with Alberto Costa MP, Jonathan Portes, Lauren McLaren, Mari?a Fernandez Reino and Tim Bale (chair).

Playing chicken Viviane Gravey and Charlotte Burns look at the challenges posed by chlorinated chickens to UK farmers, animal welfare regulations and the country's regulatory identity.

Failing to Remain (united) Adam Fagan, Kristina Tokac and Stijn van Kessel look at the organisations involved in the anti-Brexit movement and the challenges they faced.

The Bill For the fifth anniversary of the 2015 EU Referendum Bill (9 June), Paul Goldsmith writes about the topics discussed in the second reading debate.

Are EU learning? Ramon Pacheco Pardo considers the experiences of East Asian countries, to discuss how Europe could avoid a second Covid-19 lockdown.

Media
The UK in a Changing Europe was mentioned in BBC News Scotland, Huffington Post, Bloomberg, Financial Times, Daily Express, The Telegraph, Foreign Policy, The Ecologist, The Verdict, The Guardian, Sky News.

Highlights
. Meredith Crowley gave evidence to the House of Lords EU Goods sub-committee.
. Catherine Barnard gave evidence to the Commons Committee on the Future Relationship with the European Union on the progress of the negotiations.

Events
. Our next Isolation Insight virtual event is happening today at 12noon. It will focus on the economics of the coronavirus pandemic and the UK's departure from the EU with Ben Chu, Jonathan Portes, Meredith Crowley, Gemma Tetlow, and I.
. Jill Rutter, Gabriel Felbermayr, Sam Lowe and Michael Landesmann (chair) discuss the likely outcome of the UK-EU negotiations on Monday. Sign up here.

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	Anand Menon Director, UK in a Changing Europe

Dear Harper,

Tuesday marks four years since the referendum. FOUR. YEARS. To mark the anniversary, sign up for our #IsolationInsight event examining public opinion since the vote. And look out for some rather special blogs. And there''s more. Tomorrow we launch our new series of long reads. Watch out for the first one in your inbox.

Begging for an extension? Iain Begg reflects on whether or not it would make sense to request an extension to the transition period.

Fish Friday . In case you missed it we released our fish report last Friday (it made quite a splash ??). . Jill Rutter looks at whether fishing might prevent the UK and EU from reaching a deal, originally in the Telegraph. . Matt Bevington explains why fish is such a vexed issue on both sides of the Channel. . And our latest Brexit Breakdown podcast sees Jill Rutter and Christopher Huggins diving deep into all matters fish.

What's going on in the island of Ireland Katy Hayward and Ben Rosher released a report on political attitudes and identities in Northern Ireland. They found unionist and nationalist identities became stronger in the run-up to Brexit.

Economically challenging Watch or listen to our last #IsolationInsight event on the economics of Brexit and Covid-19 with Ben Chu, Jonathan Portes, Meredith Crowley and Gemma Tetlow.

Better together? Nick Witney reflects on Boris Johnson''s statement on 'Global Britain'' in which he he announced the merging of DfID into the FCO.

Where's Global Britain? Thibaud Harrois argues the prime minister is avoiding foreign policy in the Brexit negotiations.

Saboteurs? Meg Russell outlines the challenges Parliament faced during the Brexit process and the lessons that need to be learnt to deal with Covid-19.

It's Brexit, stupid Chris Prosser looks at data from the 2019 general election, arguing the outcome can be explained by the continuing importance of Brexit.

Ireland united Jonathan Evershed writes on the publication of Our Shared Future, Ireland''s new programme for government by Fianna F?il and Fine Gael.

Covid inquiry Christoph Meyer and Nikki Ikani write about the immediate need for an expert-led inquiry on the lessons learnt from the Covid-19 pandemic.

World beaters Jill Rutter examines the government''s obsession with being 'world beating'.

Media
We were in these Reuters, New York Times and Telegraph articles about a deal, this Prospect article about the UK and this Daily Express piece about a fish deal.

Highlights
. Tamara Hervey and her Health Governance after Brexit team wrote a piece in the British Medical Journal, looking at UK-EU and UK-US trade negotiations and their implications for health and the NHS. They also had an article in Health Economics, Policy and Law, comparing the UK and EU negotiating positions and their implications for health and the NHS.
. Sarah Hall gave evidence to the Culture, Tourism, Europe and External Affairs Committee at the Scottish Parliament on the impacts of different trade deals for the financial services sector. This drew on findings from our Services and Brexit report.
. Nicola McEwen gave evidence to Scottish Affairs committee yesterday and submitted written evidence last week to the EU exit committee on the devolution dimension of Brexit.
. Jill Rutter joined Gabriel Felbermayr, Sam Lowe and Michael Landesmann to discuss UK-EU negotiations in the time of coronavirus.
. Meg Russell and Nicola McEwen, and other senior democracy specialists, wrote an open letter to Jacob Rees-Mogg about the ending of the hybrid House of Commons, which you can read here.
. Dan Wincott and Gregory Davies published a piece showing differences in the way the media report Brexit court cases across the UK in the UK Constitutional Law Association.

Events
. John Curtice, Paula Surridge, Will Jennings, James Johnson and I will be discussing the state of public opinion, and more, since the EU referendum on Tuesday. Sign-up here.
. Jonathan Portes will deliver an online lecture on Covid-19, Brexit, and the economy on 7 July.

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	Anand Menon Director, UK in a Changing Europe

Dear Harper,

Well who'd have thought it? Apparently not having our borders ready could mean a risk of smuggling and a challenge in the WTO. Obviously if you're a long-term subscriber to this peach of a newsletter, none of this would come as a surprise.

Union tensions Speaking of challenges, our latest #IsolationInsight event was about devolution post-Brexit. Panellists were Katy Hayward, Nicola McEwen, Dan Wincott and Peter Foster. They were fantastic, and it's well worth a watch.

Balanced budgets The Chancellor Rishi Sunak delivered his Summer Statement on Wednesday. Jill Rutter wrote that he has to balance confidence and economic realism, originally in Times Red Box.

Academic in the spotlight We've launched a new Academic in the Spotlight series to showcase the best of social science. Our first featured scholar is Dr Neema Begum, research associate at the Centre on the Dynamics of Ethnicity, University of Manchester. . Neema reflects on her research into the voting behaviour, political attitudes and representation of ethnic minority voters . Watch Neema explain her research in this video . And read this Twitter thread.

German efficiency Kai Oppermann considers how the German Council presidency will impact on the UK-EU negotiations.

Euro change The Eurogroup elected a new president this week. Professor Iain Begg argued it could signal a significant shift in EU economic policy.

Missing rights Alexandra Bulat shares the findings from a report which found that young Europeans considered themselves unrepresented or underrepresented in UK politics.

All change please Jill Rutter writes about the reforms Boris Johnson is carrying out in Number 10, the cabinet and the civil service.

Media
. We were featured in the Daily Express about: no deal, Japan-UK talks and EU tensions, in the Telegraph, Sky News and The House about our values report and the New European about the negotiations.
. Jonathan Portes was on BBC Radio 4's Today programme on unemployment, on 8 July
. Tim Bale and Jill Rutter were on BBC Radio 4's The Week in Westminster, on 4 July

Highlights
. Meg Russell gave evidence to the House of Commons Procedure Committee on Wednesday, to talk about procedure under Covid-19
. Jonathan Portes delivered an online lecture on Covid-19, Brexit, and the economy for the Wales Institute of Social and Economic Research and Data.

Events
Jill Rutter will be in conversation with Stephen Muers, from Big Society Capital, about culture and values in policymaking on 14 July at 12 noon. Sign-up here.

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	Anand Menon Director, UK in a Changing Europe

Dear Harper,

It's all kicking off. Border plans, immigration policy and a perceived power grab by Whitehall that has the devolved Governments up in arms. Lucky for you, you subscribe to this newsletter.

Business matters Jill Rutter argues Liz Truss should be more worried about businesses struggling to maintain trade with the EU than the benefits of new trade deals beyond the EU, originally in the Guardian.

Dis-united Do MPs expect the United Kingdom to break up? Find out by reading Alan Wager's analysis based on our survey of MPs.

Internal affairs Katy Hayward argues that the Protocol on Ireland/Northern Ireland places considerable pressure on the UK's internal market.

Vexatious vaccines Tamara Harvey looks at the politics, legal structures, and health ethics underpinning the development of a Covid-19 vaccine.

Settled status success? Catherine Barnard and Fiona Costello reflect on the EU Settled Status (EUSS) scheme.

Balanced Brexit? How balanced was the debate over Brexit? Find out by reading this investigation into media reporting on the Brexit debate between July 2017 and March 2019 by Philipp K?ker, Christoph H?nnige, Dominic Nyhuis, Philipp Meyer and Susumu Shikano.

Regional finances Sarah Hall and Martin Heneghan argue more attention needs to be paid to the impacts of Brexit on financial services firms outside of London.

New human rights Matthew Moran writes about the importance of the Global Human Rights Sanctions regime announcement by Foreign Secretary Dominic Raab.

Generation EU Erik Jones and Jan Zielonka write about Next Generation EU, the EU''s coronavirus economic recovery fund, and today''s EU summit.

Command central Chris Wilkins welcomes the creation of a stronger central Government communications team.

Poles' poll Aleks Szczerbiak previewed Poland''s presidential election and what victory for the different candidates would mean.

We don't need no education Nick Hillman looks at universities and Brexit, considering the referendum, the impact of Brexit on student numbers, research and more in this long-read.

Brexit Breakdown In the latest Brexit Breakdown podcast, I chat with Professor Jane Green about why the British Election Study is so good, why elections are so hard to predict, and what kind of electoral shock the pandemic might turn out to be.

Media
. Our values report was referenced by Guardian columnist Andy Beckett in this piece about Keir Starmer and by Patrick O''Flynn in this Spectator piece about Sajid Javid and Rishi Sunak.
. I was on Channel 4 News talking about the money allocated for the UK-EU border, on LBC's Shelagh Fogarty discussing the latest Brexit news, quoted in this New York Times article about border bureaucracy and in the Daily Express about the UK-EU deal and if a deal will happen.
. John Curtice had a write up on the latest polling on Scottish independence in the Times, which stirred something of a hornets'' nest. He was subsequently on Times Radio and various BBC programmes. Read a longer version of his analysis here.
. Jill Rutter was on LBC's Eddie Mair discussing the UK's operating model for the border and was quoted in the Independent about women being shut out of Boris Johnson's key decision making bodies.

Highlights
. Watch Katy Hayward talk to Andrew Blick, on behalf of The Constitution Society, about what Brexit means for Northern Ireland and Ireland and the prospects for the future
. David Bailey and Ivan Rajic gave evidence to the Business Select Committee''s Inquiry on Post-Pandemic Economic Growth
. Nicola McEwen chaired an ''in conversation'' event for Radix with Lord Alderdice on Reimagining the United Kingdom
. Tim Bale was on a panel with Philippa Lloyd, Magda Osman and David McCoy to discuss Covid-19 and its global impact

Events
Jonathan Portes will discuss the economic issues of immigration in this webinar hosted by the Labour Party Economic Society on 23 July from 7.30pm.

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	Anand Menon Director, UK in a Changing Europe

Dear Harper,

Things are hotting up on the Brexit front. Sparks flew, and tensions boiled over after the latest round of talks ended last week. We'll be discussing the state of the negotiations at our live webinar on Wednesday. 

Stand off Find out what the tension between David Frost and Michael Barnier is all about by reading Jill Rutter's piece, originally in the Telegraph.

Pandemic problems Leila Simona Talani argues Covid-19 makes an extension less viable and a no-deal outcome more likely.

On the island of Ireland . Katy Hayward looks at the challenges of post-Brexit governance of Northern Ireland. Read the report she co-wrote, "Anticipating and meeting new multilevel governance challenges in Northern Ireland after Brexit", here. . Colin Murray looks at the response to the Covid-19 crisis across the Irish border, under the shadow of Brexit. . David Widdowson argues intra-UK trade movements should not be subject to customs controls when implementing the Ireland/Northern Ireland Protocol.

Different distances Ben Ansell examines the differences in social distancing between Remainers and Leavers, originally in Times Red Box. Read his paper, "What explains differences in social distancing in the UK?" here.

Common sense Jonathan Portes argues Boris Johnson''s 'good British common sense' approach to lockdown is wrong from an economic and social perspective, originally in the FT.

BPP The findings from our latest Brexit Policy Panel were released on Tuesday. The expert panellists think the UK will not strike a deal with the EU by the end of the year. It was featured in Huffington Post.

VE Day To mark the 75th anniversary of VE Day, Neil Winn looks at the future of UK-EU security co-operation.

MRA Catherine Barnard and Emilija Leinarte explain everything you need to know about mutual recognition agreements.

Karlsruhe judgment Damian Chalmers ponders how the Karlsruhe judgment underlines that the EU isn't fit to deal with the challenges it is facing from Covid-19.

Lugano no go Louise Merrett and Catherine Barnard look at the dispute between the UK and the EU Commission over joining the Lugano Convention.

Billion euro baby Iain Begg writes on the Franco-German proposal for a ?500 billion recovery fund.

Euro-vision Eulalia Rubio argues it would be a dangerous political gamble for the EU to include the Covid-19 recovery plan in the next budget.

Popular populists Watch our Isolation Insight event on populism and the pandemic, which featured Matt Goodwin, Paul Taggart and Catherine Fieschi, chaired by Tim Bale.

Party popper Tim Bale looks at the short- to medium-term opportunities and threats Covid-19 presents to the Conservative and Labour parties.

Ill defining Rose McDermott examines how leaders have dealt with illness during their time in office.

Keir challenges Robert Saunders writes on the challenges faced by the leader of the opposition and looks at what Keir Starmer could do during this crisis.

Double chair James Strong provides five reasons why Tom Tugendhat's chairing of both the China Research Group and the Foreign Affairs Committee is a matter for concern.

Environmental matters Andy Jordan and Brendan Moore argue Brexit has increased the risk of environmental policy regression.

Podcasts . Our latest Brexit Breakdown podcast sees SNP spokesperson for health, Philippa Whitford MP and Tamara Hervey discuss Brexit, the impact of Covid-19 on the NHS and how well the UK and EU member states have handled the pandemic. . Nicola McEwen and Katy Hayward were on this IfG podcast on Covid 19, devolution and intergovernmental relations . Michaela Benson talked about Covid-19, immigration and citizenship in Britain on the Surviving Society Podcast . Dan Wincott was on Matrix Law podcast discussing differing responses to the virus across the UK and the effect this might have on devolution.

Media
. The UK in a Changing Europe was mentioned in the Daily Express, New York Times, Times Red Box, Financial Times, Irish Times, Huffington Post and Telegraph
. Jill Rutter was on BBC Radio 4's the World Tonight discussing the UK's future relationship with the EU and our latest Brexit Policy Panel findings
. David Bailey was quoted in the Daily Telegraph on the possibility of Nissan keeping its Sunderland plant going beyond Brexit
. Tim Bale was quoted in the Daily Express about Keir Starmer and New European on research he's carried out on extending transition
. I was on BBC Radio London's Petrie Hosken show discussing the furlough scheme.

Highlights
. Nick Timothy and Tim Bale participated in an IPPR webinar
. Sarah Hall wrote about uneven regional economic impacts of Covid-19 for Nottingham University
. Early career researchers from across Europe met last week to discuss 'Brexit and the EU', which was run by Hussein Kassim, Catherine Barnard and Simon Usherwood.

Events
. Meredith Crowley is speaking on trade policy post-Covid with the World Trade Institute today.
. We're discussing the state of the negotiations in our latest #IsolationInsight event with Katya Adler, Iain Martin, Catherine Barnard, myself and Jill Rutter as the chair this Wednesday.

Spread the word
If you know people who are keen for impartial academic information on the consequences of Brexit, then please pass this newsletter on to them. You can also keep up with what we're doing on Twitter, Facebook, LinkedIn and YouTube.

	Anand Menon Director, UK in a Changing Europe